IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Cleveland St.
Horizon
2020-21

Overall
Predictive Rating	-5.0	#242
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	67.3	#227
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-3.2	#267

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-1.8	#224

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	5.8%	7.7%	4.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.9	14.7	15.3

.500 or above	37.9%	52.3%	26.1%
.500 or above in Conference	40.3%	49.2%	32.9%
Conference Champion	5.5%	7.7%	3.7%
Last Place in Conference	12.4%	8.2%	15.8%

First Four	1.5%	1.5%	1.6%
First Round	5.0%	6.9%	3.4%
Second Round	0.2%	0.3%	0.2%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Kent St. (Home) - 45.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 3	2 - 6	2 - 8
Quad 4	8 - 5	10 - 13

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 25, 2020	172	Kent St.	L	71-72	45%
Dec 01, 2020	137	@ Toledo	L	67-77	20%
Dec 19, 2020	212	@ Robert Morris	L	65-70	34%
Dec 20, 2020	212	@ Robert Morris	L	65-70	34%
Dec 26, 2020	199	Youngstown St.	W	71-70	52%
Dec 27, 2020	199	Youngstown St.	W	71-70	51%
Jan 01, 2021	295	@ IUPUI	L	76-77	48%
Jan 02, 2021	295	@ IUPUI	L	76-77	49%
Jan 08, 2021	167	Northern Kentucky	L	66-68	45%
Jan 09, 2021	167	Northern Kentucky	L	66-68	44%
Jan 15, 2021	121	@ Wright St.	L	69-80	18%
Jan 16, 2021	121	@ Wright St.	L	69-80	18%
Jan 22, 2021	272	Wisconsin-Milwaukee	W	73-69	64%
Jan 23, 2021	272	Wisconsin-Milwaukee	W	73-69	64%
Jan 29, 2021	240	Green Bay	W	82-79	59%
Jan 30, 2021	240	Green Bay	W	82-79	59%
Feb 05, 2021	243	@ Oakland	L	67-70	41%
Feb 06, 2021	243	@ Oakland	L	67-70	40%
Feb 12, 2021	245	Detroit Mercy	W	76-73	60%
Feb 13, 2021	245	Detroit Mercy	W	76-73	60%
Feb 19, 2021	227	@ Purdue Fort Wayne	L	68-72	38%
Feb 20, 2021	227	@ Purdue Fort Wayne	L	68-72	38%
Projected Record						10 - 12	8 - 8

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Horizon Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st										0.0	0.1	0.4	1.3	1.6	1.4	0.6	0.1				5.5	1st
2nd									0.0	0.2	1.6	3.4	3.1	1.6	0.4	0.0					10.3	2nd
3rd								0.0	0.2	2.4	4.7	3.4	0.8	0.1							11.7	3rd
4th								0.3	2.9	5.2	3.0	0.5	0.0								11.9	4th
5th						0.0	0.2	2.6	5.9	3.3	0.5										12.6	5th
6th						0.2	2.1	5.3	3.1	0.4	0.0										11.0	6th
7th				0.0	0.1	1.8	4.8	3.3	0.4	0.0											10.5	7th
8th			0.0	0.2	1.8	4.1	3.3	0.6	0.0												9.9	8th
9th	0.0	0.0	0.5	2.0	3.4	2.7	0.5	0.0													9.1	9th
10th	0.3	1.1	2.2	2.2	1.4	0.2	0.0														7.6	10th

Total	0.3	1.1	2.7	4.4	6.7	9.0	10.9	12.0	12.5	11.5	9.9	7.8	5.3	3.2	1.8	0.6	0.1					Total

Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2	100.0%	0.1		0.1
15-3	94.0%	0.6		0.5	0.1
14-4	76.6%	1.4		1.0	0.3	0.0
13-5	49.4%	1.6		0.9	0.6	0.1
12-6	24.2%	1.3		0.4	0.6	0.2	0.0
11-7	5.5%	0.4		0.1	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0
10-8	1.1%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
9-9	0.1%	0.0						0.0

Total	5.5%	5.5		3.1	1.8	0.5	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2	0.1%		56.5%	49.0%	7.5%	10.6						0.0		0.0	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.1		14.7%
15-3	0.6%		37.8%	37.4%	0.3%	13.0											0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0		0.4		0.5%
14-4	1.8%		32.5%	31.6%	0.9%	13.7													0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0	1.2		1.3%
13-5	3.2%		21.6%	21.6%		14.2													0.0	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.1	2.5
12-6	5.3%		19.2%	19.2%		14.8													0.0	0.1	0.3	0.4	0.3	4.3
11-7	7.8%		12.2%	12.2%		15.3														0.0	0.1	0.4	0.4	6.8
10-8	9.9%		7.6%	7.6%		15.4														0.0	0.1	0.3	0.4	9.1
9-9	11.5%		5.6%	5.6%		15.8															0.0	0.1	0.5	10.9
8-10	12.5%		3.4%	3.4%		15.9															0.0	0.0	0.4	12.1
7-11	12.0%		2.0%	2.0%		16.0																0.0	0.2	11.8
6-12	10.9%		1.5%	1.5%		16.0																	0.2	10.7
5-13	9.0%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	8.9
4-14	6.7%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	6.7
3-15	4.4%																							4.4
2-16	2.7%																							2.7
1-17	1.1%																							1.1
0-18	0.3%																							0.3

Total	100%		5.8%	5.8%	0.0%	14.9						0.0		0.0	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.6	1.1	1.5	2.5	94.2		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.2%